M-Power":x1wqwn1s said:hamster":x1wqwn1s said:Interesting that Prof Patrick Minford, the Brexit side's economist stated that UK manufacturing industry would effectively be wiped out in his scenario, but he expects that services will fill the gap.
I'm just not sure that people could be retrained or have the right skills or education. The desperate state of the NE of England following the collapse of heavy industry has not yet been eliminated, and that's in a generation.
The U.K. has a long tradition of high end manufacturing and this will continue. The middle classes of China and other developing economies crave high end British brands. We are only a small nation and punch way above our weight. No reason to assume we can't continue to increase trade with the ROW.
We should always give safe haven to our fair share of genuine refugees but focus only on cherry picking the best educated immigrants from countries that already do and wish to trade with us, this benefitting our economy too. Investment needs to focus on the midlands and north of England. Less focus on London and the SE. Tax breaks for new industries and investors that relocate there. Restore the respect these areas once had a century ago and balance the distribution of wealth better across the nation.
So why does leaving the EU help us develop trade? Minford stated that UK manufacturing would immediately face prices having to fall by 20% if it left the EU. Remember that a lot of places would immediately be underloaded and therefore loss-making if they lost EU business.